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Social Media’s “Tobacco Moment” And Why Building Your Marketing on It Is Playing With Fire

Posted by Parthiv Shah on Mar 12, 2026 8:00:01 AM

Parthiv Shah

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During last month’s private client Zoom, Dan Kennedy brought up something that made a few people visibly uncomfortable, because it challenged a quiet assumption many modern businesses have been leaning on for years. He said we are approaching what he called social media’s “tobacco moment.”

There was a time when cigarettes were everywhere. They were advertised on television. Doctors endorsed them. Brands sponsored sporting events. Nobody questioned it. Tobacco companies looked untouchable, and entire industries were built around the assumption that the party would never end.

Then the lawsuits came. Then the studies. Then Congress got involved. Regulations tightened. Advertising restrictions piled up. Costs skyrocketed. Entire marketing channels disappeared almost overnight. Companies that depended too heavily on tobacco advertising got crushed.

Dan’s point was simple. Social media is heading down a very similar road because the underlying environment is changing fast, and not in a friendly way.

Look at what’s already happening. There are lawsuits piling up over addictive design. Platforms are being accused of intentionally engineering psychological dependency, especially among kids and teenagers. Parents are suing. Attorneys general are suing. Congress is holding hearings. Whistleblowers are testifying. Internal documents are surfacing that show these companies knew exactly what they were doing.

Once government attention locks in, regulation always follows, and it’s never gentle or optional.

Dan said something on that call that stuck with me. He said if your business depends primarily on leads from reels, TikTok, Facebook, or whatever platform happens to be hot this month, you should be sleeping with one eye open, because you are standing on thin ice whether you realize it or not.

That’s not fear-mongering. That’s platform reality. You don’t own those audiences. You don’t control those algorithms. You don’t set those rules. You’re renting space on someone else’s property, and they can change the rent, the rules, or the entire building whenever they feel like it. And they do.

Every business owner who has relied heavily on social has already experienced it. One algorithm tweak cuts reach in half. Ad costs quietly double. A policy changes and your account gets flagged. A platform decides certain targeting isn’t allowed anymore. What worked last quarter suddenly stops working, and there’s no one to call. You just adapt or bleed.

Now add government regulation into that mix, and the economics get even shakier. Once politicians start treating social media like tobacco or gambling or alcohol, restrictions are inevitable. Ad rules tighten. Compliance increases. Costs go up. Liability grows. Some platforms shrink. Some disappear entirely. What looks like a cheap, easy traffic source today becomes expensive and unpredictable tomorrow.

If your entire marketing system sits on top of that foundation, your business isn’t stable. It’s fragile. It only feels safe because it’s working right now.

Too many business owners have become addicted to the economics of social media advertising. It feels easy, fast, and cheap compared to traditional marketing, so they build everything around it without realizing they’ve put their whole company on rented land.

That’s not strategy. That’s dependency. And dependency is dangerous.

The bigger issue is that social media tricks you into thinking it is a complete marketing system when it’s really just one channel. It can introduce people to you. It can create awareness. It can start conversations. But it was never meant to be the entire engine.

When you treat it like the engine, you’re gambling your future on forces you cannot control.

Dan has always preached something very different. Real businesses don’t rely on a single medium. They build integrated systems. Online and offline. Paid and owned. Direct and indirect. Multiple touchpoints that work together so that if one channel weakens, the business doesn’t collapse.

That’s not old-school thinking. That’s resilient thinking.

When you own your email list, your database, your direct mail, your referrals, your partnerships, your follow-up systems, and your brand positioning, you’re not at the mercy of whatever Silicon Valley or Congress decides this year. You have assets that no one can throttle or shut off with the flip of a switch.

That kind of stability isn’t flashy, but it’s what allows businesses to survive every wave of change. Because waves always come.

At eLaunchers, we still use social media where it makes sense. It’s a tool, and tools have their place. But we never build a strategy that depends entirely on it. We focus on systems that capture leads, nurture relationships, and create predictable growth across multiple channels, both online and offline, so clients aren’t waking up one morning wondering why their entire pipeline vanished because an algorithm changed.

That’s the difference between marketing that looks modern and marketing that actually lasts.

If social media disappeared tomorrow, your business should still function. If it wouldn’t, that’s not a marketing advantage. That’s a vulnerability.

If you’d like help building a marketing system that doesn’t depend on one fragile channel and instead integrates multiple media into something stable and predictable, that’s exactly what we help businesses do every day.

You can start here:
www.meetparthiv.com

To stronger foundations and fewer surprises, 

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President
eLaunchers.Com

Topics: direct mail, Tobacco Moment, Social Media’s, Costs skyrocketed, engineering psychological, marketing advantage, referrals, your partnerships

 parthiv shah

 

Are you one of the 99% of small businesses who are spending money on marketing but unhappy with results & ROI?

I can help you establish controls and measurements so you can know, understand and MEASURE what is working and what is not working in real time. In one hour I will help you identify your KPI (Key Performance Indicators) and connect all your digital marketing assets (website, social media, finance) to a digital dashboard and a mobile app so you can track and measure everything going forward in real time.

 

 

 

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